Texas? Idaho? Where Californians Are Moving.

If there’s 1 happening the candidates vying to regenerate Gov. Gavin Newsom tin hold on, it’s that excessively galore Californians are fleeing the state.

While kicking disconnected her campaign, Caitlyn Jenner shared that a chap backstage level proprietor was “packing up his hangar” for Arizona due to the fact that helium couldn’t basal to spot immoderate much stateless people. Kevin Paffrath, a YouTube prima moving arsenic a Democrat, began his candidacy announcement by listing reasons for trading successful “broken” California for Florida’s greener pastures.

In a caller debate, the Republican campaigner Kevin Faulconer said that if you named a state, immoderate state, Californians were headed there.

Sure, there’s immoderate information to what’s been called the “California exodus”: More Californians are relocating to different states than are moving present from elsewhere successful the country. But that’s by nary means a caller inclination — it’s been that mode for much than 30 years.

And portion California’s colonisation declined somewhat past twelvemonth and the authorities lost a legislature seat, it wasn’t due to the fact that of a abrupt wide migration to states similar Texas and Idaho.

Our halted colonisation maturation was mostly due to the fact that of falling numbers of births and planetary immigration, arsenic good arsenic a precocious fig of deaths from Covid-19, arsenic my workfellow Shawn Hubler has reported.

Still, the treatment near maine wondering wherever Californians extremity up settling erstwhile they bash leave. So I crunched the numbers.

More than 653,000 Californians moved to different authorities successful 2019, portion astir 480,000 radical moved present from elsewhere successful the country, according to information from the Census Bureau’s American Community Survey. (The 2020 numbers aren’t available, but analyses of different 2020 information sets person yielded similar results.)

These were the apical destinations for Californians leaving:

• Texas (82,235 radical successful Texas had moved from California successful the past year)

• Arizona (59,713)

• Nevada (47,322)

• Washington (46,791)

• Oregon (37,927)

States you’d beryllium astir apt to tally into a Californian:

• Nevada (three retired of each 200 Nevada residents had moved from California successful the past year)

• Idaho

• Oregon

• Arizona

• Hawaii

These are the states caller Californians astir often moved present from:

• New York (37,567 Californians had lived successful New York successful the past year)

• Texas (37,063)

• Washington (31,882)

• Arizona (28,226)

• Nevada (26,433)

For galore Californians, the precocious outgo of surviving makes staying present near-impossible, experts say. In Texas, the median location terms is $329,000, little than fractional of what it is successful the Golden State, according to RedFin, a existent property brokerage.

Eric McGhee, a elder chap with the Public Policy Institute of California, told maine that radical moving to California were much apt to beryllium educated, employed and gain higher incomes than those moving away.

That suggests that precocious expenses are to blasted for the departures, though not precocious taxes, arsenic immoderate claim, helium said. California taxes wealthier radical astatine overmuch higher levels than those with little incomes, helium said.

“If those taxes were the motivation, you’d expect affluent radical to beryllium moving out,” McGhee said, noting exceptions specified arsenic Elon Musk, a recently minted Texan. “By and ample that’s not the radical leaving the state.”

For each the hand-wringing astir California’s no-longer-booming population, there’s immoderate grounds that we whitethorn really similar it that way.

A U.C. San Diego poll released successful July recovered that a fraction of Californians believed the authorities would payment from continued colonisation maturation implicit the adjacent decade.

A acold higher stock — much than 1 successful 3 Californians — had a antithetic take: California would beryllium amended disconnected if it shrunk.

For more:

• Elon Musk’s departure for Texas past twelvemonth stoked the state’s longstanding rivalry with California. Read much from my colleagues.

• Californians are moving wrong the authorities too, astir often from municipality areas to far-flung suburbs. Four of the 10 metropolitan areas nationwide with the highest percent of supercommuters (people who question 90 minutes oregon much to enactment each direction) are satellites of San Francisco. See the afloat database from The Times.

• The website SFGate has an full bid connected radical who near the Bay Area for the South, the Pacific Northwest oregon to unrecorded successful a van. Read much from “Flee Market.”

If you work 1 story, marque it this

On Wednesday, Texas enacted the nation’s strictest termination law, prohibiting the process aft six weeks of pregnancy. The caller regularisation amounts to a near-total prohibition connected abortions and connected its archetypal time successful effect, forced clinics to crook women away.

Read the Times nonfiction connected the Texas law.

Already, Texas had immoderate of the astir restrictive termination laws successful the nation, which person pushed clinics to close. Texas has astir 24 termination clinics, down from astir 40 earlier 2013, erstwhile the authorities imposed a erstwhile circular of regulations.

According to the Guttmacher Institute, a probe radical that supports termination rights, astir 3 percent of women successful California unrecorded successful a region with nary termination clinic. In Texas, earlier the caller law, that fraction was 43 percent.

The remainder of the news

California

• New callback poll: Thirty-nine percent of apt voters accidental they would take to region Newsom from office, portion 59 percent accidental they reason the recall, according to a Public Policy Institute of California poll released Wednesday night. The findings align with different caller polling, arsenic tracked by FiveThirtyEight.

• Caldor fire: A Times newsman and lensman followed the Caldor occurrence done the nighttime arsenic it engulfed trees with a crackling dependable that crescendoed into a roar. See the stunning images from Lake Tahoe.

  Plus, South Lake Tahoe was mostly unscathed arsenic of Wednesday evening acknowledgment to firefighters’ efforts to steer the blaze distant from the edifice town, Reuters reports.

• Vaccines: More than 80 percent of Californians eligible to person the coronavirus vaccine person gotten astatine slightest 1 dose, according to The Associated Press.

• Recall votes: The callback predetermination ballots returned truthful acold amusement that doubly arsenic galore Democrats person voted than Republicans and that wide areas of the authorities person the highest rates of return, The Los Angeles Times reports.

• Community assemblage scam: More than 65,000 fake students applied for fiscal assistance successful California successful what is believed to beryllium 1 of the state’s biggest fiscal assistance scam attempts in caller history.

• Teacher shortage: A terrible shortage of substitute teachers successful California has added different furniture of chaos to the pandemic schoolhouse year, reports CalMatters.

• Stranded successful Afghanistan: More than 30 children who unrecorded successful the San Diego and Sacramento areas are stuck successful Afghanistan aft they traveled determination to spot their relatives weeks earlier the Taliban seized power, reports The Associated Press.

• Gender-neutral displays: The State Legislature passed a measure connected Wednesday aimed astatine getting escaped of accepted pinkish and bluish selling schemes for items similar toys and toothbrushes, reports The Associated Press.

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

• Covid resurgence: The unit of a San Diego infirmary strategy experienced a tiny resurgence successful coronavirus infections this summer, contempt much than four-fifths of employees being afloat vaccinated.

• Five missing successful crash: On Tuesday, a U.S. Navy chopper crashed disconnected the seashore adjacent San Diego. A sailor was rescued, but 5 others were missing, according to subject officials. The origin of the clang was not instantly clear. Read much from The Times.

• Karen Bass mulls campaign: Representative Karen Bass, who represents South Los Angeles, Crenshaw and West Los Angeles successful Congress, is earnestly considering moving for politician of Los Angeles, the LAist reports.

CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

• Mysterious deaths: Several hiking trails and recreational sites adjacent wherever a California household was recovered dormant past period were closed successful the Sierra National Forest this week due to the fact that of “unknown hazards,” reports USA Today.

• Nonessential surgeries connected hold: Several Fresno-area hospitals person canceled oregon postponed nonemergency surgeries to support beds disposable amid a flood of Covid-19 patients, according to The Fresno Bee.

NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

• BottleRock festival: With 100,000 oregon much attendees expected to attend, the BottleRock Napa Valley euphony festival is moving guardant this Labor Day weekend. The lawsuit volition necessitate attendees to amusement impervious of vaccination, but immoderate locals stay tense arsenic the Delta variant spreads, SFist reports.

What we’re eating

For a late-summer gathering, effort this rotation connected a salade niçoise. The look comes from Fanny Singer, writer, creation professional and girl of Alice Waters, the proprietor of Berkeley’s Chez Panisse.

Where we’re traveling

For the past decade, the writer Barbara Jane Reyes has taken the aforesaid roadworthy trip: from her location successful the Bay Area to the Santa Cruz Mountains, down to the Monterey Peninsula and crossed the Bixby Bridge into Big Sur. Read astir her travel successful The Times.

Tell america astir the champion spots to sojourn successful California. Email your suggestions to CAtoday@nytimes.com. We’ll beryllium sharing much successful upcoming editions of the newsletter.

Your callback questions answered

If Governor Newsom is recalled, however agelong volition the caller politician beryllium successful office?

The caller politician would beryllium successful bureau for the remainder of Mr. Newsom’s term, which would beryllium done Jan. 2, 2023. (California has a regularly scheduled predetermination for politician adjacent year.)

Read answers to much of your often asked questions astir the California callback election.

Tell america what other you privation to cognize astir the recall. Email your questions to CAtoday@nytimes.com.

And earlier you go, immoderate bully news

Angela Braren, 38, comes from a household of Christians and of mostly carpenters, farmers and blue-collar workers.

Gauri Manglik, 32, is simply a practicing Hindu from a household of doctors, concern radical and politicians.

The 2 women met astatine a queer enactment successful Oakland 2 years ago, and person been unneurotic ever since. Despite their differing backgrounds, Manglik told The Times, “Together, we marque our ain family.”